Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeimer Candelario

matchup for Aaron Nola

219th out of 436 (Best 51%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for J. Candelario

451st out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Leans in favor of Nola

Jeimer Candelario has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.9% lower than Candelario's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	21.7%	3.8%	5.2%	12.7%	7.3%	34.3%
Candelario	-2.9	-0.6	+0.5	+0.2	-1.3	-2.4	+8.4
Nola	-0.5	-0.7	+0.8	-1.1	-0.4	+0.2	+3.4

Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Candelario has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has an F grade against right-handed Kn-Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

14.8% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.8% -2.8% 39%

In Play +1.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base -4.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit -2.4% -2.0% 14%

Single -2.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -0.5%

32.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.0% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.4% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up 0.0% -0.7%

21.8% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.3% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.5% -0.7%

11.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%