Matchup Machine

      Jeimer Candelario

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      matchup for Joe Mantiply

      214th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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      Joe Mantiply

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      matchup for J. Candelario

      458th out of 564 (Worst 19%)

      Moderate advantage for Mantiply
      3

      Model Prediction

      Jeimer Candelario has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 4.1% lower than Candelario's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Mantiply.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Candelario has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      42%
         Curve (L)
      29%
         Changeup (L)
      24%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.4% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% +1.2% 5%         Walk -2.0% -3.0% 39%         In Play +0.6% +1.9% 39%         On Base -4.9% -2.9% 31%         Hit -2.9% +0.1% 14%         Single -2.2% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.1%

      History

      Jeimer Candelario has 1 plate appearance against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-06-25Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.