Matchup Machine

Jeimer Candelario

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for J. Candelario

180th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Strong advantage for Candelario
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Model Prediction

Jeimer Candelario has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.5% higher than Candelario's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%22.1%3.7%4.5%14.0%11.3%22.9%
Candelario+1.5-0.1+0.4-0.50.0+1.6-3.0
Anderson-0.3-0.2+0.7-0.8-0.1-0.2+1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Candelario has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.4% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.8% -1.0% 39%         In Play +1.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base -4.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.4% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.2%

History

Jeimer Candelario has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.290.000.140.150.146
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-04-29Flyout100%
2022-04-29Groundout14%15%71%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.