Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Zach Penrod

178th out of 436 (Best 42%)

Zach Penrod

matchup for Max Kepler

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Kepler

Max Kepler has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 2.0% higher than Kepler's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Penrod.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	22.2%	2.6%	6.7%	13.0%	11.0%	23.1%
Kepler	+2.0	-0.5	+0.0	+1.2	-1.7	+2.6	-1.5
Penrod	-1.8	+0.2	-0.4	+1.0	-0.4	-2.0	+0.1

Max Kepler is worse vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Max Kepler has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Changeup (L)

30%

Slider (L)

24%

17% of Zach Penrod's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 17%

+5%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 2%

-3%

Edge Painter 12%

-6%

38% of Zach Penrod's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 38%

+25%

Fast Velo 34%

+24%

Medium Break 37%

+18%

Offspeed (L) 30%

+18%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% -10.5% 5%

Walk -1.2% +13.9% 38%

In Play +3.7% -3.4% 39%

On Base -1.5% +6.9% 31%

Hit -0.3% -7.0% 14%

Single +0.2% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -1.8% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -2.9%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod induces Standard Grounders at a 42.4% rate, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +8.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +7.7%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 19.0% of batted balls allowed by Zach Penrod are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +5.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% +0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% -3.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% -5.3%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Zach Penrod are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%