Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Ryan Weathers

251st out of 436 (Worst 43%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Max Kepler

388th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Weathers

Max Kepler has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.1% lower than Kepler's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	21.3%	2.3%	6.4%	12.6%	7.8%	25.0%
Kepler	-2.1	-1.4	-0.2	+0.8	-2.1	-0.6	+0.4
Weathers	-0.8	-0.3	+0.3	+0.8	-1.3	-0.6	+0.3

Max Kepler is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Kepler has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Max Kepler has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% -2.1% 5%

Walk -1.2% -0.6% 38%

In Play +3.7% +2.7% 39%

On Base -1.5% +0.9% 31%

Hit -0.3% +1.5% 14%

Single +0.2% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +1.2%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +1.1%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%