Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Brett de Geus

326th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Brett de Geus

matchup for Max Kepler

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Kepler

Max Kepler has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Brett de Geus, which is 5.8% higher than Kepler's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing de Geus.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.0%	26.5%	1.8%	4.5%	20.2%	10.4%	19.8%
Kepler	+5.8	+3.8	-0.7	-1.0	+5.5	+2.0	-4.8
de Geus	+1.8	+2.5	-0.2	+0.3	+2.4	-0.7	-0.1

Max Kepler is better vs right-handed pitching. Brett de Geus is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kepler has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Brett de Geus throws a Sinker 54% of the time. Max Kepler has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

54%

Cutter (R)

24%

Curve (R)

17%

13% of Brett de Geus's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Non-Competitive 16%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

42% of Brett de Geus's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 42%

+28%

Extreme Break 40%

+26%

Fastball (R) 78%

+25%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Brett de Geus strikes out 11.4% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% -7.5% 5%

Walk -1.2% +3.8% 38%

In Play +3.7% +3.7% 39%

On Base -1.5% +12.0% 31%

Hit -0.3% +8.2% 14%

Single +0.2% +5.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +5.7% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -2.7%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Brett de Geus induces Standard Grounders at a 43.4% rate, which is 9.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +9.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% -2.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -3.3% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -3.0%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brett de Geus are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +6.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% -2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +1.1%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 9.0% of batted balls allowed by Brett de Geus are hit at this angle, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%