Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Logan Webb

206th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Max Kepler

309th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Kepler

Max Kepler has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.0% higher than Kepler's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	24.4%	2.3%	5.1%	16.9%	6.8%	22.6%
Kepler	+0.0	+1.7	-0.2	-0.4	+2.3	-1.6	-2.0
Webb	-1.0	-0.4	-0.1	-0.1	-0.2	-0.7	+0.6

Max Kepler is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kepler has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Max Kepler has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% -0.8% 5%

Walk -1.2% -2.4% 38%

In Play +3.7% +3.2% 39%

On Base -1.5% +1.6% 31%

Hit -0.3% +4.0% 14%

Single +0.2% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +2.8% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -1.3%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -1.4%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +3.6%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%