Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Jack Flaherty

247th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for Max Kepler

104th out of 567 (Best 19%)

Strong advantage for Kepler

Max Kepler has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.3% higher than Kepler's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.5%	23.0%	3.6%	5.8%	13.6%	10.5%	23.3%
Kepler	+2.3	+0.3	+1.0	+0.3	-1.1	+2.0	-1.3
Flaherty	-0.7	-0.2	0.0	+0.7	-0.9	-0.5	+0.5

Max Kepler is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Kepler has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Max Kepler has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +5.8% 5%

Walk -1.2% -1.5% 38%

In Play +3.7% -4.3% 39%

On Base -1.5% -2.0% 31%

Hit -0.3% -0.5% 14%

Single +0.2% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -0.3% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.2%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -1.3% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -0.8%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% -2.8%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%