Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Tyler Duffey

222nd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Tyler Duffey

matchup for Max Kepler

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Kepler

Max Kepler has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 3.0% higher than Kepler's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Duffey.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	24.1%	2.2%	5.3%	16.6%	10.0%	24.4%
Kepler	+3.0	+1.4	-0.3	-0.3	+2.0	+1.6	-0.2
Duffey	+0.1	+1.5	-0.4	0.0	+1.9	-1.4	-0.3

Max Kepler is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Kepler has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Max Kepler has an A+ grade against right-handed Kn-Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

42%

4-Seam (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

14%

23% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

28% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 28%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Breaking (R) 42%

+12%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +3.7% 5%

Walk -1.2% -2.4% 38%

In Play +3.7% -1.3% 39%

On Base -1.5% -5.5% 31%

Hit -0.3% -3.1% 14%

Single +0.2% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% +3.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -0.5%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% -3.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +2.8%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%