Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Max Fried

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Max Fried

matchup for Max Kepler

306th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Kepler

Max Kepler has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 1.3% higher than Kepler's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Fried.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	24.7%	2.2%	5.1%	17.4%	7.8%	26.3%
Kepler	+1.3	+1.9	-0.3	-0.5	+2.7	-0.6	+1.7
Fried	+0.1	+1.6	+0.1	+0.5	+0.9	-1.4	-0.1

Max Kepler is worse vs left-handed pitching. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kepler has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Max Kepler has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

35%

Curve (L)

23%

Slider (L)

17%

Sinker (L)

13%

Changeup (L)

11%

13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-4%

23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 23%

+19%

Slow Lob 18%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

Breaking (L) 40%

+11%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +3.0% 5%

Walk -1.2% -1.8% 38%

In Play +3.7% -1.2% 39%

On Base -1.5% +0.3% 31%

Hit -0.3% +2.0% 14%

Single +0.2% +1.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +1.7% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -1.4%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -6.5% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -0.7%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 20.8% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% +4.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -3.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% +0.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% -3.5%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%