Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Kepler

matchup for Carlos Rodon

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Carlos Rodon

matchup for Max Kepler

490th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Rodon

Max Kepler has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 3.4% lower than Kepler's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Rodon.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.7%	19.5%	3.1%	5.1%	11.4%	8.2%	35.5%
Kepler	-3.4	-3.2	+0.5	-0.5	-3.3	-0.2	+10.9
Rodon	-0.9	-0.9	+0.2	+1.0	-2.1	0.0	+1.2

Max Kepler is worse vs left-handed pitching. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Kepler has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Max Kepler has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

56%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

Curve (L)

14% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

41% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Max Kepler has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 41%

+22%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Very Fast Velo 19%

+16%

13.1% of Max Kepler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +5.5% 5%

Walk -1.2% +0.2% 38%

In Play +3.7% -5.7% 39%

On Base -1.5% -2.4% 31%

Hit -0.3% -2.6% 14%

Single +0.2% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +0.5%

29.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon induces Standard Grounders at a 29.3% rate, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -5.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.5% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +0.7%

28.3% of Max Kepler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.1% -3.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +1.4%

12.1% of Max Kepler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%