Gary Sanchez has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.1% lower than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Weathers.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.7% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 28.8% |
Sanchez | -2.1 | -2.1 | -1.1 | +0.4 | -1.4 | 0.0 | -1.0 |
Weathers | -0.2 | -3.8 | +0.3 | -0.9 | -3.2 | +3.6 | +4.1 |
Gary Sanchez is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Sanchez has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Gary Sanchez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Gary Sanchez has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.035 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-20 | Groundout | 6% | 94% | ||
2024-05-20 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-05-20 | Groundout | 5% | 95% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.