Matchup Machine

Gary Sanchez

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matchup for Tanner Houck

92nd out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Gary Sanchez

416th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Houck
3

Model Prediction

Gary Sanchez has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 2.1% lower than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%19.0%2.1%3.6%13.3%10.7%22.7%
Sanchez-2.1-0.9-1.5-0.6+1.2-1.2-7.1
Houck-2.1-3.10.0-0.8-2.3+1.1+3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Gary Sanchez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Sanchez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Gary Sanchez has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% -1.6% 4%         Walk +1.2% +0.2% 41%         In Play -4.6% +1.4% 39%         On Base -4.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit -5.3% +0.3% 14%         Single -4.0% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.0% -0.9%

History

Gary Sanchez has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011100.667
Expected From Contact →1.000.000.100.900.334
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-26Single5%86%9%
2024-05-26Double5%4%90%
2024-05-26Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.