Matchup Machine

Gary Sanchez

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

267th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Gary Sanchez

172nd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Sanchez
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Model Prediction

Gary Sanchez has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.5% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%20.4%3.2%4.6%12.6%13.9%22.6%
Sanchez+2.5+0.6-0.3+0.4+0.6+2.0-7.3
Beeks+0.9-3.7+0.7-0.4-4.1+4.6+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Gary Sanchez is better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sanchez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Gary Sanchez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% -2.5% 4%         Walk +1.2% -0.1% 41%         In Play -4.6% +2.6% 39%         On Base -4.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit -5.3% +0.5% 14%         Single -4.0% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +2.0% -1.3%

History

Gary Sanchez has 2 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.240.000.000.240.243
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-26Single24%76%
2022-06-11Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.