Gary Sanchez has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.5% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Beeks.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.3% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 22.6% |
Sanchez | +2.5 | +0.6 | -0.3 | +0.4 | +0.6 | +2.0 | -7.3 |
Beeks | +0.9 | -3.7 | +0.7 | -0.4 | -4.1 | +4.6 | +4.2 |
Gary Sanchez is better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sanchez has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Gary Sanchez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Gary Sanchez has 2 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.243 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-26 | Single | 24% | 76% | ||
2022-06-11 | Walk |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.