Matchup Machine

Gary Sanchez

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

103rd out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Gary Sanchez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Alcantara
3

Model Prediction

Gary Sanchez has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 0.5% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%18.3%2.6%3.8%11.9%13.0%33.7%
Sanchez-0.5-1.5-0.9-0.4-0.2+1.1+3.9
Alcantara-0.9-3.6+0.2-1.0-2.8+2.7+7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Gary Sanchez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Sanchez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Gary Sanchez has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% +2.6% 4%         Walk +1.2% -0.7% 41%         In Play -4.6% -1.9% 39%         On Base -4.1% -4.1% 31%         Hit -5.3% -3.3% 14%         Single -4.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.0% -1.4%

History

Gary Sanchez has 6 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual660000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.460.000.180.280.077
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-23Pop Out1%98%
2023-08-23Flyout100%
2023-08-23Lineout12%19%69%
2023-05-30Flyout99%
2023-05-30Strikeout
2023-05-30Groundout5%7%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.