Matchup Machine

Gary Sanchez

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

229th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Gary Sanchez

207th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Sanchez
5

Model Prediction

Gary Sanchez has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.3% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%22.9%3.0%5.6%14.3%11.2%28.7%
Sanchez+2.3+3.0-0.5+1.4+2.2-0.8-1.2
Suarez0.0-1.9+0.6-0.1-2.4+1.9+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Gary Sanchez is better vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Sanchez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Gary Sanchez has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% +0.1% 4%         Walk +1.2% -1.2% 41%         In Play -4.6% +1.1% 39%         On Base -4.1% +1.9% 31%         Hit -5.3% +3.1% 14%         Single -4.0% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +2.0% -0.9%

History

Gary Sanchez has 5 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000010.000
Expected From Contact →1.000.000.030.970.250
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-16Groundout61%39%
2024-09-16Groundout5%95%
2023-07-15Groundout2%31%67%
2023-07-15Walk
2023-07-15Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.