Matchup Machine

      Gary Sanchez

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      matchup for Michael Wacha

      158th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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      Michael Wacha

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      matchup for Gary Sanchez

      304th out of 564 (Worst 46%)

      Leans in favor of Sanchez
      1

      Model Prediction

      Gary Sanchez has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.9% lower than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Wacha.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Gary Sanchez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Sanchez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Gary Sanchez has a D- grade against right-handed Changeups

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
      32%
         4-Seam (R)
      31%
         Cutter (R)
      17%
         Sinker (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% +0.4% 4%         Walk +1.2% -2.0% 41%         In Play -4.6% +1.5% 39%         On Base -4.1% -3.0% 31%         Hit -5.3% -1.0% 14%         Single -4.0% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.0% +0.1%

      History

      Gary Sanchez has 2 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.040.000.010.040.022
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-04-17Groundout4%96%
      2022-04-17Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.