Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gary Sanchez

matchup for Seth Lugo

124th out of 436 (Best 29%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Gary Sanchez

340th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Leans in favor of Lugo

Gary Sanchez has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.3% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	19.7%	3.3%	4.3%	12.1%	11.7%	32.5%
Sanchez	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	+0.1	+0.1	-0.3	+2.7
Lugo	-1.1	-4.2	+0.2	-0.6	-3.7	+3.1	+7.6

Gary Sanchez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sanchez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Gary Sanchez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Gary Sanchez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Gary Sanchez has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.4% +0.8% 4%

Walk +1.2% -2.3% 41%

In Play -4.6% +1.4% 39%

On Base -4.1% -0.4% 31%

Hit -5.3% +1.9% 14%

Single -4.0% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -3.4% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.0% +0.1%

30.9% of Gary Sanchez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.5% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -2.0% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +3.0% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -2.2%

35.4% of Gary Sanchez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.5% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.1% -1.6%

13.4% of Gary Sanchez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%