matchup for Jose Quintana
matchup for Gary Sanchez
2
Gary Sanchez has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 0.7% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Quintana.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.5% | 18.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 24.2% |
| Sanchez | +0.7 | -1.8 | -0.8 | +0.3 | -1.2 | +2.6 | -5.6 |
| Quintana | +0.4 | -3.9 | +0.6 | -0.6 | -3.9 | +4.2 | +3.1 |
Gary Sanchez is better vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Sanchez has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Gary Sanchez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
31%
Curve (L)
28%
Sinker (L)
24%
Changeup (L)
17%
23% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gary Sanchez has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
23%
+3%
Fringe Miss
14%
+2%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
-1%
Weak Challenge
8%
-1%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
37% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Gary Sanchez has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Velo
37%
+22%
Medium Ride
23%
+9%
Small Break
17%
+9%
16.6% of Gary Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.4%
+0.4%
4%
Walk
+1.2%
-1.1%
41%
In Play
-4.6%
+0.7%
39%
On Base
-4.1%
+1.3%
31%
Hit
-5.3%
+2.5%
14%
Single
-4.0%
+1.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.4%
+1.4%
3%
Home Run
+2.0%
-0.8%
30.9% of Gary Sanchez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Jose Quintana induces Standard Grounders at a 34.9% rate, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.6%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.5%
+0.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.2%
+2.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.2%
0.0%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.0%
-0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.3%
-0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.4%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+3.0%
-0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.6%
+0.0%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
-0.8%
35.4% of Gary Sanchez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.5%
-0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.4%
0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-4.0%
+0.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-3.2%
+2.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+11.1%
-2.1%
13.4% of Gary Sanchez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.2%
-2.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.0%
+3.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
+1.4%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.4%
-0.1%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.1%
+1.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.9%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.8%
-1.1%
8%
Above 50°
+0.8%
-1.2%
Gary Sanchez has 7 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.143 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.91 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.92 | 0.274 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-10-03 | Double | 2% | 71% | 20% | 7% |
| 2024-10-03 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-10-03 | Lineout | 3% | 5% | 91% | |
| 2024-09-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-09-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-03-29 | Forceout | 66% | 34% | ||
| 2024-03-29 | Flyout | 21% | 2% | 77% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
