Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Garrett Stubbs

matchup for George Kirby

21st out of 436 (Best 6%)

George Kirby

matchup for Garrett Stubbs

379th out of 567 (Worst 33%)

Strong advantage for Kirby

Garrett Stubbs has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 3.0% lower than Stubbs's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.1%	19.8%	1.5%	5.0%	13.3%	4.4%	22.8%
Stubbs	-3.0	+0.5	0.0	+0.2	+0.4	-3.5	-4.4
Kirby	-4.1	-2.9	-1.2	-0.2	-1.5	-1.2	+2.1

Garrett Stubbs is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Stubbs has an F grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Garrett Stubbs has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

15.3% of Garrett Stubbs's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +0.5% 4%

Walk +1.3% -5.1% 41%

In Play -2.3% +4.6% 39%

On Base -1.6% -3.9% 31%

Hit -2.9% +1.2% 14%

Single -0.7% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run -1.7% -0.1%

37.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.6% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -3.7% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +6.2% +2.1%

8.2% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +13.6% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +9.3% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -16.1% -1.7%

15.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +8.4% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° -3.2% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -7.9% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° -4.8% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +3.6% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +3.6% +1.9%

Garrett Stubbs has 3 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.14	0.00	0.00	0.13			0.045

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-27	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-04-27	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-04-27	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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