Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Garrett Stubbs

matchup for Alex Speas

19th out of 436 (Best 5%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Garrett Stubbs

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Speas

Garrett Stubbs has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 2.2% higher than Stubbs's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.4%	17.8%	1.3%	4.7%	11.8%	11.6%	27.9%
Stubbs	+2.2	-1.5	-0.2	-0.2	-1.1	+3.7	+0.6
Speas	-4.6	-3.3	-1.2	-0.5	-1.6	-1.3	+3.4

Garrett Stubbs is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Stubbs has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Garrett Stubbs hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs has a D- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

15.3% of Garrett Stubbs's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +19.9% 4%

Walk +1.3% -0.6% 41%

In Play -2.3% -19.3% 39%

On Base -1.6% -8.2% 31%

Hit -2.9% -7.6% 14%

Single -0.7% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -1.7% +3.3%

37.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.6% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -3.7% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +6.2% +8.5%

8.2% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +13.6% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +9.3% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -16.1% -10.5%

15.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%