Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Garrett Stubbs

matchup for Ryan Feltner

8th out of 436 (Best 3%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for Garrett Stubbs

231st out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Feltner

Garrett Stubbs has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 0.3% higher than Stubbs's typical expectations, and 6.0% lower than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	20.5%	1.5%	6.0%	13.1%	6.9%	24.8%
Stubbs	+0.3	+1.2	-0.1	+1.1	+0.1	-0.9	-2.4
Feltner	-6.0	-4.2	-1.4	-0.1	-2.8	-1.8	+4.6

Garrett Stubbs is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stubbs has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Garrett Stubbs has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

15.3% of Garrett Stubbs's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% -5.1% 4%

Walk +1.3% 0.0% 41%

In Play -2.3% +5.1% 39%

On Base -1.6% +5.3% 31%

Hit -2.9% +5.3% 14%

Single -0.7% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +2.7% 3%

Home Run -1.7% +0.1%

37.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.6% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner -3.7% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.8% 3%

Pop up +6.2% +1.6%

8.2% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +13.6% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +9.3% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -16.1% -4.2%

15.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +8.4% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -3.2% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -7.9% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -4.8% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° +3.6% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.6% +5.0%

Garrett Stubbs has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.13	0.00	0.01	1.12			0.377

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-13	Groundout			39%	60%
2022-04-27	Single			73%	27%
2022-04-27	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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