Matchup Machine

Garrett Stubbs

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matchup for Logan Webb

34th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Garrett Stubbs

247th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Webb
5

Model Prediction

Garrett Stubbs has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.7% higher than Stubbs's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%22.2%1.2%5.0%16.0%6.7%27.4%
Stubbs+1.7+2.9-0.3+0.2+3.0-1.2+0.1
Webb-3.3-2.6-1.2-0.2-1.2-0.8+5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Stubbs is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stubbs has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Garrett Stubbs has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Garrett Stubbs's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% -0.8% 4%         Walk +1.3% -2.4% 41%         In Play -2.3% +3.2% 39%         On Base -1.6% +1.6% 31%         Hit -2.9% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.7% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -1.3%

History

Garrett Stubbs has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →1.010.000.080.930.337
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-30Groundout29%71%
2022-05-30Strikeout
2022-05-30Lineout7%64%28%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.