Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Garrett Stubbs

matchup for Aaron Nola

40th out of 436 (Best 10%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Garrett Stubbs

398th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Garrett Stubbs has a 25.6% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.5% lower than Stubbs's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.6%	20.0%	1.5%	6.4%	12.1%	5.6%	34.7%
Stubbs	-1.5	+0.7	0.0	+1.6	-0.9	-2.2	+7.5
Nola	-3.8	-2.3	-1.4	+0.2	-1.1	-1.5	+3.9

Garrett Stubbs is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Stubbs has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Garrett Stubbs hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Garrett Stubbs hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

15.3% of Garrett Stubbs's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +6.3% 4%

Walk +1.3% -2.8% 41%

In Play -2.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base -1.6% -4.8% 31%

Hit -2.9% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.7% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.7% -0.5%

37.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.7% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +6.2% -0.7%

8.2% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +13.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +9.3% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -16.1% -0.7%

15.1% of Garrett Stubbs's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%