Matchup Machine

      Austin Slater

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      matchup for M. Rodriguez

      187th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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      Manuel Rodriguez

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      matchup for Austin Slater

      295th out of 564 (Worst 48%)

      Leans in favor of Rodriguez
      2

      Model Prediction

      Austin Slater has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 1.1% higher than Slater's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Austin Slater is worse vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Slater has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Austin Slater has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
      39%
         Sinker (R)
      38%
         4-Seam (R)
      23%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.5% of Austin Slater's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -0.9% 3%         Walk +3.3% -0.7% 43%         In Play -8.2% +1.6% 39%         On Base +3.7% -3.4% 31%         Hit +0.4% -2.7% 14%         Single +0.4% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.8%

      History

      Austin Slater has 1 plate appearance against Manuel Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-28Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.