Matchup Machine

Austin Slater

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matchup for Seth Lugo

47th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Austin Slater

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
4

Model Prediction

Austin Slater has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.5% lower than Slater's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%21.9%1.8%4.7%15.4%8.6%32.8%
Slater-0.5+0.8+0.0+0.2+0.6-1.3+3.5
Lugo-1.9-2.0-1.3-0.3-0.4+0.1+8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Slater is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Slater has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Austin Slater has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Austin Slater's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +0.8% 3%         Walk +3.3% -2.3% 43%         In Play -8.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base +3.7% -0.4% 31%         Hit +0.4% +1.9% 14%         Single +0.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years