Matchup Machine

Austin Slater

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matchup for Aaron Nola

120th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Austin Slater

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Nola
5

Model Prediction

Austin Slater has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.8% lower than Slater's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%22.3%2.0%5.6%14.6%6.9%35.5%
Slater-1.8+1.1+0.3+1.1-0.2-3.0+6.2
Nola-0.2-0.1-0.9-0.6+1.5-0.2+4.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Slater is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Slater has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Austin Slater hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Austin Slater's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +6.3% 3%         Walk +3.3% -2.8% 43%         In Play -8.2% -3.5% 39%         On Base +3.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit +0.4% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years