Matchup Machine

Austin Slater

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Austin Slater

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Slater
3

Model Prediction

Austin Slater has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 1.2% higher than Slater's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%23.4%2.3%4.8%16.3%8.9%22.7%
Slater+1.2+2.2+0.6+0.2+1.4-1.0-6.6
Lyles-1.4-0.9-1.0-1.1+1.2-0.6+4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Slater is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Slater has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Austin Slater has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Austin Slater's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +0.8% 3%         Walk +3.3% -2.3% 43%         In Play -8.2% +1.5% 39%         On Base +3.7% -4.1% 31%         Hit +0.4% -1.7% 14%         Single +0.4% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years