Matchup Machine

Francisco Lindor

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

421st out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for F. Lindor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Lindor
9

Model Prediction

Francisco Lindor has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.2% higher than Lindor's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%26.7%3.9%6.1%16.6%7.5%16.5%
Lindor-0.2+3.0-0.2+0.5+2.7-3.3-6.0
Gillaspie+2.6+1.4+1.3+0.6-0.5+1.2-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Francisco Lindor is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lindor has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Francisco Lindor has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Francisco Lindor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% -9.1% 4%         Walk +1.5% -5.0% 39%         In Play +2.5% +14.2% 39%         On Base +3.2% +11.5% 31%         Hit +1.7% +16.6% 14%         Single -1.0% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +7.8% 3%         Home Run +3.2% +0.2%

History

Francisco Lindor has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.950.000.050.890.474
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-24Groundout7%93%
2024-08-22Single5%82%13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.