Matchup Machine

Francisco Lindor

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matchup for P. Sandoval

414th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Patrick Sandoval

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matchup for F. Lindor

342nd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Strong advantage for Lindor
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Model Prediction

Francisco Lindor has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 0.2% higher than Lindor's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%24.1%3.9%5.0%15.2%10.6%23.2%
Lindor+0.2+0.4-0.3-0.6+1.3-0.2+0.6
Sandoval+2.7+1.6+1.4+0.3-0.1+1.2-0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Francisco Lindor is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lindor has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Francisco Lindor has an A+ grade against left-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
27%
   4-Seam (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Sinker (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Francisco Lindor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% +3.4% 4%         Walk +1.5% 0.0% 39%         In Play +2.5% -3.4% 39%         On Base +3.2% -0.2% 31%         Hit +1.7% -0.1% 14%         Single -1.0% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +3.2% -1.4%

History

Francisco Lindor has 6 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651100310.200
Expected From Contact →1.110.920.080.110.222
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-25Groundout11%89%
2023-08-25Home Run92%8%
2023-08-25Strikeout
2022-06-12Strikeout
2022-06-12Strikeout
2022-06-12Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.