Matchup Machine

Francisco Lindor

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matchup for Logan Webb

432nd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for F. Lindor

74th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Lindor
10

Model Prediction

Francisco Lindor has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 3.4% higher than Lindor's typical expectations, and 5.7% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.8%28.4%4.5%6.2%17.8%9.4%18.6%
Lindor+3.4+4.8+0.3+0.6+3.9-1.4-3.9
Webb+5.7+3.7+2.1+1.0+0.6+2.0-3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Francisco Lindor is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lindor has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Francisco Lindor has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Francisco Lindor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% -0.8% 4%         Walk +1.5% -2.4% 39%         In Play +2.5% +3.2% 39%         On Base +3.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +1.7% +4.0% 14%         Single -1.0% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +3.2% -1.3%

History

Francisco Lindor has 15 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 15 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual15153012500.200
Expected From Contact →3.110.030.262.820.207
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-26Single79%20%
2024-05-26Flyout3%1%96%
2024-05-26Strikeout
2024-04-23GIDP26%74%
2024-04-23Strikeout
2024-04-23Groundout4%3%93%
2024-04-23Strikeout
2023-04-22Flyout3%97%
2023-04-22Strikeout
2023-04-22Groundout1%31%67%
2022-05-24Strikeout
2022-05-24Groundout37%63%
2022-05-24Sac Fly100%
2022-04-19Single7%84%9%
2022-04-19Double8%22%70%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.