Matchup Machine

Francisco Lindor

Worst 15% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 11% of matchups for F. Lindor

Extreme advantage for Lindor

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.3%	4.5%	14.7%	7.1%	11.8%
MLB (+/-)	+1.4	+0.3	+0.8	-2.6	-13.4
Lindor	+1.0	+0.3	+1.8	-2.3	-8.2
Gomber	+1.0	+0.2	-1.5	-0.7	-4.6

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.3%

4.5%

14.7%

7.1%

11.8%

MLB (+/-)

+1.4

+0.3

+0.8

-2.6

-13.4

Lindor

+1.0

+0.3

+1.8

-2.3

-8.2

Gomber

+1.0

+0.2

-1.5

-0.7

-4.6

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	3	0	1	2	2	0	.250
Expected From Contact →			2.64	0.01	0.95	1.68			.220

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-28	GIDP			53%	47%
2023-05-28	Flyout		4%		95%
2023-05-28	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-05-06	Flyout				100%
2023-05-06	Double		66%	7%	27%
2023-05-06	Groundout			11%	89%
2022-05-22	Strikeout
2022-05-22	Single		2%	37%	60%
2022-05-22	Single			10%	90%
2021-05-24	Strikeout
2021-05-24	GIDP			41%	59%
2021-05-24	Lineout		21%	6%	73%
2020-08-29	Single			68%	31%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	51%	112	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

51%

112

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	50%	49	Fastball	16	45%
⭐	29%	69	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐	14%	76	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
	49%	44	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐	57%	77	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	48%	100	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	62%	99	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

50%

Fastball

45%

⭐

29%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐

14%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

49%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐

57%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

48%

100

Changeup

18%

⭐⭐

62%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	71%	101	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐	73%	64	Top of zone	-3	12%
	67%	52	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
⭐⭐	69%	102	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
⭐	73%	73	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

71%

101

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐

73%

Top of zone

-3

12%

67%

Away / Arm Side

11%

⭐⭐

69%

102

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

⭐

73%

Middle

-23

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
46%	40	Below the zone	22	30%
40%	-10	In / Glove Side	30	24%
30%	24	Above the zone	8	24%
26%	21	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

46%

Below the zone

30%

40%

-10

In / Glove Side

24%

30%

Above the zone

24%

26%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	30%	46	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	61%	82	Batter Behind	0	28%
	54%	33	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐	69%	74	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	63%	0	3 Balls	2	8%
	76%	31	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

30%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

61%

Batter Behind

28%

54%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐

69%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

63%

3 Balls

76%

Full Count

-9