Matchup Machine

Austin Hedges

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matchup for Jared Jones

2nd out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Austin Hedges

453rd out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Extreme advantage for Jones
9

Model Prediction

Austin Hedges has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.9% lower than Hedges's typical expectations, and 7.3% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.8%16.2%1.8%4.5%9.8%7.6%40.5%
Hedges-1.9-2.4-0.2-0.4-1.8+0.5+6.3
Jones-7.3-4.7-1.1-0.5-3.0-2.6+12.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Hedges is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hedges has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Austin Hedges has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Austin Hedges's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.3% +0.6% 41%         In Play -3.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base -6.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -5.6% -0.8% 14%         Single -2.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.6% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years