Matchup Machine

      Austin Hedges

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      matchup for George Kirby

      14th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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      George Kirby

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      matchup for Austin Hedges

      330th out of 564 (Worst 42%)

      Strong advantage for Kirby
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      Model Prediction

      Austin Hedges has a 24.3% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 2.1% lower than Hedges's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Kirby.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Austin Hedges is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hedges has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Austin Hedges has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      40%
         Slider (R)
      22%
         Sinker (R)
      19%
         Curve (R)
      8%
         Splitter (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.4% of Austin Hedges's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% +0.5% 5%         Walk -1.3% -5.1% 41%         In Play -3.3% +4.6% 39%         On Base -6.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit -5.6% +1.2% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.6% -0.1%

      History

      Austin Hedges has 3 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001000.333
      Expected From Contact →0.760.000.040.720.253
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-05-26Flyout100%
      2023-05-26Single2%69%30%
      2022-09-04GIDP2%4%94%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.