Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Hedges

matchup for Ryne Nelson

3rd out of 436 (Best 1%)

Ryne Nelson

matchup for Austin Hedges

464th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Extreme advantage for Nelson

Austin Hedges has a 22.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 3.0% lower than Hedges's typical expectations, and 7.4% lower than batters facing Nelson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.7%	18.2%	1.9%	4.6%	11.7%	4.5%	38.6%
Hedges	-3.0	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3	+0.1	-2.6	+4.4
Nelson	-7.4	-5.2	-0.9	-0.2	-4.1	-2.1	+12.4

Austin Hedges is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hedges has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Austin Hedges has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Cutter (R)

15%

Slider (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hedges has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hedges has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 29%

+19%

Fastball (R) 72%

+18%

Small Break 25%

+16%

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

17.4% of Austin Hedges's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.6% -2.9% 5%

Walk -1.3% -2.2% 41%

In Play -3.3% +5.1% 39%

On Base -6.9% +0.3% 31%

Hit -5.6% +2.5% 14%

Single -2.0% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -2.0% +1.5% 3%

Home Run -1.6% +0.1%

32.4% of Austin Hedges's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +3.4% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.1% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer +4.5% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -2.9% +2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.1% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +2.8% -0.5%

16.6% of Austin Hedges's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.5% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +5.3% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.5% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.7% +4.8%

12.3% of Austin Hedges's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%