Matchup Machine

      Austin Hedges

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      matchup for Joe Mantiply

      53rd out of 436 (Best 13%)

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      Joe Mantiply

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      matchup for Austin Hedges

      267th out of 564 (Best 48%)

      Strong advantage for Mantiply
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      Model Prediction

      Austin Hedges has a 26.0% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 0.4% higher than Hedges's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Mantiply.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Austin Hedges is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Hedges has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Austin Hedges has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      42%
         Curve (L)
      29%
         Changeup (L)
      24%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.4% of Austin Hedges's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% +1.1% 5%         Walk -1.3% -3.1% 41%         In Play -3.3% +2.0% 39%         On Base -6.9% -2.8% 31%         Hit -5.6% +0.3% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -1.6% -0.1%

      History

      Austin Hedges has 1 plate appearance against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.028
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-08-01Pop Out3%97%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.