Matchup Machine

Austin Hedges

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

10th out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Austin Hedges

170th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Anderson
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Model Prediction

Austin Hedges has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.6% higher than Hedges's typical expectations, and 6.4% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.3%19.3%2.1%5.6%11.6%8.0%31.1%
Hedges+1.6+0.7+0.0+0.6+0.0+0.9-3.1
Anderson-6.4-3.0-0.9+0.4-2.5-3.4+9.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Hedges is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hedges has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Austin Hedges has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Austin Hedges's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.6% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.0% 41%         In Play -3.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -6.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -5.6% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.6% -0.2%

History

Austin Hedges has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321001110.500
Expected From Contact →0.570.000.000.570.285
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-23Single57%43%
2023-07-23Strikeout
2023-07-23Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.