Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Cave

matchup for Will Warren

107th out of 436 (Best 25%)

Will Warren

matchup for Jake Cave

206th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Warren

Jake Cave has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.9% higher than Cave's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	22.5%	2.1%	6.2%	14.2%	8.9%	30.9%
Cave	+1.9	+0.3	-0.1	+0.9	-0.5	+1.6	+1.4
Warren	-2.1	+0.6	-0.6	+0.9	+0.4	-2.7	+4.7

Jake Cave is better vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Cave has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jake Cave has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jake Cave has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jake Cave has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

17.5% of Jake Cave's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.0% +3.0% 5%

Walk -2.8% +1.4% 40%

In Play -2.1% -4.3% 39%

On Base -3.3% -0.5% 31%

Hit -0.5% -1.8% 14%

Single -0.1% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.3% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +1.6%

37.4% of Jake Cave's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.0% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +0.1% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -2.6% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% +7.7% 3%

Pop up -2.7% -2.8%

23.2% of Jake Cave's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.9% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.1% +2.1%

11.7% of Jake Cave's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.4% +0.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +2.0% 8%

1 to 6° 0.0% -2.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.9% -2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +4.1% +4.9% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -3.0% 7%

39 to 50° +2.0% +2.5% 8%

Above 50° -4.0% -1.9%

Jake Cave has 2 plate appearances against Will Warren in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.49	0.17	0.77	0.55			0.745

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-24	Double	17%	70%	3%	9%
2024-08-24	Single		7%	51%	42%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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