Matchup Machine

Jake Cave

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matchup for Penn Murfee

71st out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Penn Murfee

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matchup for Jake Cave

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Murfee
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Model Prediction

Jake Cave has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 2.6% lower than Cave's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Murfee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.9%19.6%2.4%4.3%12.9%7.4%33.0%
Cave-2.6-2.6+0.2-1.0-1.8+0.0+3.4
Murfee-3.0-0.1-0.2+0.1-0.1-2.9+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Cave is better vs right-handed pitching. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Cave has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Jake Cave has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   4-Seam (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Jake Cave's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +8.1% 5%         Walk -2.8% -1.7% 40%         In Play -2.1% -6.4% 39%         On Base -3.3% -4.8% 31%         Hit -0.5% -3.1% 14%         Single -0.1% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -3.0%

History

Jake Cave has 1 plate appearance against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.005
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-26Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.