Matchup Machine

Jake Cave

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

57th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Jake Cave

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Strong advantage for Weathers
7

Model Prediction

Jake Cave has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.4% lower than Cave's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%20.6%1.6%5.4%13.5%6.6%33.1%
Cave-2.4-1.6-0.6+0.1-1.2-0.8+3.5
Weathers-2.7-1.0-0.4-0.1-0.4-1.7+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Cave is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Cave has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jake Cave has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Jake Cave's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -2.1% 5%         Walk -2.8% -0.6% 40%         In Play -2.1% +2.7% 39%         On Base -3.3% +0.9% 31%         Hit -0.5% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years