Matchup Machine

Jake Cave

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matchup for Logan Webb

127th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Jake Cave

223rd out of 567 (Best 40%)

Leans in favor of Webb
1

Model Prediction

Jake Cave has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.2% higher than Cave's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%24.9%1.7%5.4%17.8%5.9%25.6%
Cave+1.2+2.7-0.5+0.1+3.1-1.5-3.9
Webb-1.4+0.2-0.7+0.2+0.6-1.6+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Cave is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cave has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jake Cave has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Jake Cave's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -0.8% 5%         Walk -2.8% -2.4% 40%         In Play -2.1% +3.2% 39%         On Base -3.3% +1.6% 31%         Hit -0.5% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.1% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -1.3%

History

Jake Cave has 4 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.000.030.009
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-20Flyout100%
2024-07-20Groundout3%97%
2024-07-20Strikeout
2024-07-20Caught Stealing 2B

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.