Jake Cave has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.2% higher than Cave's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Webb.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 30.8% | 24.9% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 17.8% | 5.9% | 25.6% |
Cave | +1.2 | +2.7 | -0.5 | +0.1 | +3.1 | -1.5 | -3.9 |
Webb | -1.4 | +0.2 | -0.7 | +0.2 | +0.6 | -1.6 | +3.6 |
Jake Cave is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cave has an F grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jake Cave has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
17.5% of Jake Cave's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jake Cave has 4 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.009 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-20 | Flyout | 100% | |||
2024-07-20 | Groundout | 3% | 97% | ||
2024-07-20 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-07-20 | Caught Stealing 2B |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.