Matchup Machine

Jake Cave

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

51st out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Jake Cave

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Duffey
2

Model Prediction

Jake Cave has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.2% higher than Cave's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%23.4%2.0%5.5%15.8%7.3%30.9%
Cave+1.2+1.2-0.2+0.2+1.10.0+1.4
Duffey-3.4+0.7-0.6+0.2+1.1-4.1+6.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Cave is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Cave has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Jake Cave has an F grade against right-handed Kn-Curves

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Jake Cave's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +3.7% 5%         Walk -2.8% -2.4% 40%         In Play -2.1% -1.3% 39%         On Base -3.3% -5.5% 31%         Hit -0.5% -3.1% 14%         Single -0.1% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years