Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Javier Baez

matchup for Logan Allen

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Logan Allen

matchup for Javier Baez

41st out of 567 (Best 8%)

Strong advantage for Baez

Javier Baez has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.2% higher than Baez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	29.1%	2.4%	6.0%	20.7%	6.0%	16.1%
Baez	+5.2	+5.3	-0.7	+0.8	+5.2	-0.1	-7.6
Allen	+0.1	+3.1	-0.4	+0.1	+3.4	-3.0	-1.5

Javier Baez is better vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Baez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Javier Baez has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

14%

Curve (L)

Cutter (L)

21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Javier Baez has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Javier Baez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout 0.0% -2.6% 6%

Walk -3.5% +1.3% 38%

In Play +3.6% +1.3% 39%

On Base -2.5% +6.7% 31%

Hit +1.0% +5.4% 14%

Single +0.5% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% +3.1% 3%

Home Run +0.1% -0.5%

38.1% of Javier Baez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.7% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -2.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% +0.0% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -0.7%

29.5% of Javier Baez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.5% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.3% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.5% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% +2.7%

11.7% of Javier Baez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%