Matchup Machine

Javier Baez

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

127th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Javier Baez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Baez
5

Model Prediction

Javier Baez has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.2% higher than Baez's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%25.6%2.7%5.8%17.1%7.5%22.5%
Baez+3.2+1.7-0.5+0.7+1.6+1.4-1.2
Rodriguez-2.2+0.9-0.3-0.1+1.4-3.1+0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Javier Baez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Javier Baez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout 0.0% +6.5% 6%         Walk -3.5% +4.1% 38%         In Play +3.6% -10.5% 39%         On Base -2.5% +8.4% 31%         Hit +1.0% +4.3% 14%         Single +0.5% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.1% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years