Matchup Machine

Javier Baez

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

137th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Javier Baez

219th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Baez
4

Model Prediction

Javier Baez has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.0% higher than Baez's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%23.6%3.7%5.5%14.4%7.4%24.2%
Baez+1.0-0.3+0.5+0.4-1.1+1.3+0.5
Flaherty-3.3+0.3+0.1+0.4-0.1-3.6+1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Javier Baez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Baez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Javier Baez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout 0.0% +5.8% 6%         Walk -3.5% -1.5% 38%         In Play +3.6% -4.3% 39%         On Base -2.5% -2.0% 31%         Hit +1.0% -0.5% 14%         Single +0.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years