matchup for Michael King
matchup for Javier Baez
4
Javier Baez has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 0.8% lower than Baez's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing King.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.1% | 22.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 27.5% |
| Baez | -0.8 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -1.1 | +0.8 | -0.3 | +2.6 |
| King | -2.4 | +1.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +1.2 | -3.6 | -1.1 |
Javier Baez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Baez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Javier Baez has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
37%
Slider (R)
20%
4-Seam (R)
20%
Changeup (R)
18%
Curve (R)
5%
7% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Javier Baez has a D- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
+0%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Meatball
3%
-3%
48% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Javier Baez has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
48%
+33%
Just Gravity
30%
+17%
Medium Fast Velo
24%
+9%
14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
0.0%
+4.8%
6%
Walk
-3.5%
+0.2%
38%
In Play
+3.6%
-5.0%
39%
On Base
-2.5%
-1.9%
31%
Hit
+1.0%
-2.1%
14%
Single
+0.5%
-0.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.4%
-1.0%
3%
Home Run
+0.1%
-0.4%
38.1% of Javier Baez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Michael King induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.7%
+1.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.4%
-1.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.6%
+2.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.5%
-2.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
+0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.3%
+1.0%
1%
No Doubter
+0.2%
+1.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.5%
-2.7%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
-1.0%
29.5% of Javier Baez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 23.1% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.5%
+2.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.3%
+1.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.5%
-3.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.9%
-0.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
+5.2%
-1.2%
11.7% of Javier Baez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.3%
+0.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.5%
-2.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.0%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.3%
+0.8%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.4%
-0.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.2%
+1.1%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.1%
-0.9%
8%
Above 50°
-1.0%
+0.5%
Javier Baez has 2 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.002 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-08-29 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2022-06-04 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
