Matchup Machine

Javier Baez

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matchup for J. Loaisiga

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Jonathan Loaisiga

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matchup for Javier Baez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Baez
1

Model Prediction

Javier Baez has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Jonathan Loaisiga, which is 0.8% higher than Baez's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Loaisiga.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%25.7%2.1%4.1%19.5%5.0%20.0%
Baez+0.8+1.9-1.0-1.1+4.0-1.1-3.7
Loaisiga-0.3+1.4+0.1-0.3+1.6-1.7-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Javier Baez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jonathan Loaisiga is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Baez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jonathan Loaisiga throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Javier Baez has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
39%
   4-Seam (R)
22%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Jonathan Loaisiga strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout 0.0% +0.7% 6%         Walk -3.5% -0.3% 38%         In Play +3.6% -0.4% 39%         On Base -2.5% -4.1% 31%         Hit +1.0% -3.8% 14%         Single +0.5% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -2.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years