Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Javier Baez

matchup for Tyler Mahle

237th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Tyler Mahle

matchup for Javier Baez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Baez

Javier Baez has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.0% lower than Baez's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Mahle.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	22.4%	3.6%	5.3%	13.5%	6.5%	25.2%
Baez	-1.0	-1.4	+0.5	+0.1	-2.0	+0.4	+1.5
Mahle	-1.4	+1.4	+0.3	+1.0	+0.2	-2.8	+0.1

Javier Baez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Baez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Javier Baez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

Curve (R)

9% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Javier Baez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

54% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Javier Baez has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 54%

+33%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout 0.0% +10.2% 6%

Walk -3.5% -1.2% 38%

In Play +3.6% -9.0% 39%

On Base -2.5% -5.6% 31%

Hit +1.0% -4.3% 14%

Single +0.5% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.1% -1.4%

38.1% of Javier Baez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.7% -2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% +3.0% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +1.2%

29.5% of Javier Baez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.5% -0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.3% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.5% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% +3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -3.0%

11.7% of Javier Baez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%