Matchup Machine

Javier Baez

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

177th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Javier Baez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Baez
3

Model Prediction

Javier Baez has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.6% higher than Baez's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%24.3%3.1%5.4%15.8%7.3%24.5%
Baez+1.6+0.4-0.1+0.2+0.3+1.2+0.8
Duffey-2.5+1.6+0.5+0.1+1.0-4.1-0.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Javier Baez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Baez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Javier Baez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.6% of Javier Baez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout 0.0% +3.7% 6%         Walk -3.5% -2.4% 38%         In Play +3.6% -1.3% 39%         On Base -2.5% -5.5% 31%         Hit +1.0% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.5% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years