Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jurickson Profar

matchup for Logan Webb

407th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

Logan Webb

matchup for J. Profar

272nd out of 567 (Best 49%)

Extreme advantage for Profar

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.4%	26.7%	2.8%	6.9%	17.1%	7.7%	14.4%
Profar	-0.3	+3.0	-0.4	+1.0	+2.4	-3.3	-2.6
Webb	+2.3	+2.0	+0.4	+1.7	-0.1	+0.3	-7.6

Jurickson Profar is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Profar has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jurickson Profar has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Jurickson Profar has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

9.9% of Jurickson Profar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.9% -0.8% 3%

Walk +2.4% -2.4% 37%

In Play +5.5% +3.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% +1.6% 31%

Hit +1.8% +4.0% 14%

Single +0.5% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -1.3%

35.0% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -1.4%

20.4% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.6% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.8% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +3.6%

12.3% of Jurickson Profar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.1% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.2% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.2% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° -1.1% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.8% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° -1.4% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +2.0% -5.1%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	26	25	5	0	1	4	4	1	0.200
Expected From Contact →			6.09	0.80	1.12	4.18			0.244

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Groundout		4%	3%	93%
2024-09-13	Pop Out				100%
2024-09-07	Flyout	57%	5%		38%
2024-09-07	Strikeout
2024-09-07	Single		36%	18%	46%
2024-04-07	GIDP			19%	81%
2024-04-07	Groundout			23%	76%
2024-04-07	Single			83%	16%
2024-03-28	Groundout			4%	96%
2024-03-28	Single			29%	70%
2023-09-25	Groundout			10%	90%
2023-07-09	Groundout
2023-07-09	Strikeout
2023-07-09	Single
2023-07-09	Groundout
2023-06-07	Pop Out				100%
2023-06-07	Groundout			53%	47%
2023-06-07	Walk
2022-08-30	Groundout			3%	97%
2022-08-30	Strikeout
2022-08-30	Strikeout
2022-07-07	Flyout	19%	4%		77%
2022-07-07	Groundout			5%	95%
2022-04-13	Groundout			20%	80%
2022-04-13	Double	4%	59%	27%	10%
2022-04-13	Groundout			19%	80%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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